» Subscribe Today!
More of what you want to know.
The Daily News
X

Forgot your password?
Skip Navigation LinksHome >
VOL. 126 | NO. 140 | Wednesday, July 20, 2011

AP: Western States Lag in Recovery

MARTIN CRUTSINGER & MIKE SCHNEIDER

Print | Front Page | Email this story

WASHINGTON (AP) – Western states hit hardest by the housing crisis are feeling the greatest economic stress two years after the recession ended, according to The Associated Press’s monthly analysis.

Depressed home prices and high rates of foreclosures have limited job growth in Arizona, California and Nevada. Meanwhile, a delayed housing bust and cuts in state government and construction jobs have led to rising unemployment in Idaho, Montana and Utah since the recession ended.

The easing of stress over the past two years was most felt in Midwestern states that have seen growth in manufacturing jobs, such as Indiana and Michigan. However, those states experienced a monthly jump in stress in May because many counties were adversely affected by supply chain disruptions caused by the Japan crises.

The AP’s Stress index calculates a score from 1 to 100 based on unemployment, foreclosure and bankruptcy rates. A higher score signifies more economic stress. Under a rough rule of thumb, a county is considered stressed when its score exceeds 11. By that standard, about a quarter of the nation’s 3,141 counties were stressed in May, roughly the same as in April.

The average county Stress score in May was 9.7, the lowest level since April 2009. Slight declines in foreclosures and bankruptcies in May offset a tiny rise in the unemployment rate.

Nevada had the nation’s highest level of stress in May with a score of 19.31. It led the nation in unemployment, foreclosures and bankruptcies. It was followed by California (15.07), Florida (14.11), Michigan (13.47) and Arizona (13.46).

North Dakota was the least stressed – as it has been since the recession began in December 2007 – with a score of 3.67. It was followed by Nebraska (5.15), South Dakota (5.4), Vermont (5.89) and New Hampshire (6.54).

The nation’s most-stressed counties with populations of at least 25,000 in May were Imperial County, Calif. (30.95); Yuma County, Ariz. (29.66); Lyon County, Nev. (25.01); Sutter County, Calif. (23.62); and Nye County, Nev. (23.47). The least stressed were Ward County, N.D. (3.34); Burleigh County, N.D., (3.51); Ellis County, Kan. (3.94); Buffalo County, Neb. (3.96); and Cass County, N.D. (4.06).

In May, the biggest increases in the AP’s Stress Index were located in counties along the Mississippi River and in the Southeast. Those economies were disrupted by flooding and tornadoes.

Also, counties in the Midwest and South that have a high number of autoworkers saw a jump in stress levels. The March 11 earthquake and tsunami in Japan have led to a temporary parts shortage that has slowed production at many U.S. factories, particularly in the auto industry.

Two years after the recession, the economy is growing too slowly to significantly lower the unemployment rate, which rose to 9.2 percent in June.

Many economists had thought a Social Security tax cut would boost growth this year by as much as 4 percent.

But a spike in fuel prices has erased most of the impact of the tax cut. On Monday motorists paid an average price of $3.68 per gallon – nearly a dollar more than what a gallon cost a year ago.

The Stress Index shows that the Western states of Nevada, Arizona and California had the greatest increases in economic stress during the recession, which began in December 2007 and ended in June 2009.

Nevada has led the nation in foreclosures for the past four years. In May, 63 percent of homes there were “underwater” – when the home is worth less than what borrowers owe on the mortgage, based on data compiled by CoreLogic. The state has had the nation’s highest unemployment rate for the past year.

Half of all homes in Arizona were underwater in May, while nearly a third of homes in California had negative equity. That far exceeds the nation’s average of nearly 23 percent. The two states are right behind Nevada in foreclosure rates. And California had the nation’s second-highest unemployment rate in May, at 11.7 percent.

The housing bust didn’t immediately hurt the economies in Idaho, Montana and Utah. But in the past year, those states are experiencing more stress after seeing sharp increases in their unemployment rates. The area has lost a large number of construction, tourism and government jobs.

Schneider reported from Orlando, Fla. and Crutsinger reported from Washington. AP Real Estate Writer Derek Kravitz contributed from Washington to this report.

Copyright 2011 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

Sign-Up For Our Free Email Edition
Get the news first with our daily email


 
Blog Get more from The Daily News
Blog News, Training & Events
RECORD TOTALS DAY WEEK YEAR
PROPERTY SALES 44 164 6,013
MORTGAGES 72 254 9,911
FORECLOSURE NOTICES 30 129 3,267
BUILDING PERMITS 374 520 16,072
BANKRUPTCIES 66 210 6,963
BUSINESS LICENSES 20 64 2,402
UTILITY CONNECTIONS 101 330 9,404
MARRIAGE LICENSES 19 84 2,146

Weekly Edition

Issues | About

The Memphis News: Business, politics, and the public interest.